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First Bank (FRBA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.65 - $216.18$87.65
Multi-Stage$30.90 - $33.80$32.33
Blended Fair Value$59.99
Current Price$16.29
Upside268.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.25%0.00%0.240.210.190.120.090.090.090.040.000.00
YoY Growth--13.31%13.70%59.37%23.15%3.65%4.55%98.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.60%1.84%0.82%0.78%1.31%0.76%0.30%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.375.233.14
Cash Retained (M)35.8135.8135.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.37-5.23-3.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4430.5832.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.2325.2325.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.211.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.211.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.65$87.65$216.18
Upside / Downside210.91%438.05%1,227.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.8344.5547.4550.5353.8257.3159.03
Payout Ratio14.40%29.52%44.64%59.76%74.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.0213.1521.1830.2040.3051.5854.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.26%8.26%8.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.0312.1512.26
Year 2 PV (M)17.7318.0718.41
Year 3 PV (M)23.1323.8024.47
Year 4 PV (M)28.2529.3330.45
Year 5 PV (M)33.0834.6836.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)665.53697.67731.05
Equity Value (M)779.76815.71852.99
Shares Outstanding (M)25.2325.2325.23
Fair Value$30.90$32.33$33.80
Upside / Downside89.69%98.44%107.51%

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