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Dexxos Participações S.A. (DEXP3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.28 - $287.26$269.21
Multi-Stage$44.17 - $48.36$46.23
Blended Fair Value$157.72
Current Price$8.05
Upside1,859.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS102.10%0.00%0.540.380.390.260.020.020.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--39.57%-0.84%48.40%1,022.34%46.28%208.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.88%3.57%5.68%3.48%0.38%1.30%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2319.5211.71
Cash Retained (M)100.29100.29100.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.23-19.52-11.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.0780.7888.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)108.10108.10108.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.750.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.750.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.261.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$142.28$269.21$287.26
Upside / Downside1,667.41%3,244.17%3,468.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.14166.29177.09188.61200.86213.92220.34
Payout Ratio35.77%46.61%57.46%68.31%79.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.8477.51101.76128.83158.99192.53203.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)72.1972.8873.56
Year 2 PV (M)88.2889.9691.65
Year 3 PV (M)104.09107.08110.13
Year 4 PV (M)119.65124.25128.99
Year 5 PV (M)134.95141.47148.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,255.864,461.424,674.85
Equity Value (M)4,775.034,997.065,227.42
Shares Outstanding (M)108.10108.10108.10
Fair Value$44.17$46.23$48.36
Upside / Downside448.75%474.26%500.73%

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