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PT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk (ASDM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,095.40 - $1,920.39$1,446.81
Multi-Stage$1,742.74 - $1,911.31$1,825.43
Blended Fair Value$1,636.12
Current Price$555.00
Upside194.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%40.0033.0036.0047.5039.0036.5034.5034.5034.0032.50
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-24.21%21.79%6.85%5.80%0.00%1.47%4.62%14.04%
Dividend Yield--8.51%6.71%7.74%9.60%8.43%7.68%6.39%6.80%7.23%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,836.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,636.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,367.343,979.592,387.75
Cash Retained (M)12,636.7012,636.7012,636.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,367.34-3,979.59-2,387.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,269.368,657.1110,248.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
LTM Dividend per Share50.0050.0050.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend66.3372.5476.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$1,095.40$1,446.81$1,920.39
Upside / Downside97.37%160.69%246.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,836.7032,438.0033,050.6633,674.8934,310.9134,958.9536,007.72
Payout Ratio60.31%66.25%72.18%78.12%84.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,200.0021,488.9523,857.5126,307.8728,842.2931,463.0533,307.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)19,886.4820,083.5920,280.70
Year 2 PV (M)20,431.9820,839.0321,250.09
Year 3 PV (M)20,850.3821,476.5522,115.13
Year 4 PV (M)21,154.4022,005.6722,882.39
Year 5 PV (M)21,355.7422,435.3123,558.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)565,534.67594,123.47623,856.93
Equity Value (M)669,213.66700,963.63733,943.35
Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
Fair Value$1,742.74$1,825.43$1,911.31
Upside / Downside214.01%228.91%244.38%

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