Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

U10 Corp (ALU10.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.37 - $0.63$0.49
Multi-Stage$1.70 - $1.87$1.78
Blended Fair Value$1.14
Current Price$1.38
Upside-17.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.86%-25.69%0.010.080.000.010.010.010.180.330.230.23
YoY Growth---87.51%33,925.00%-97.88%11.18%39.34%-96.07%-45.65%46.01%0.98%16.85%
Dividend Yield--0.66%7.24%0.02%0.58%0.72%0.41%9.55%9.22%6.35%5.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.110.070.04
Cash Retained (M)0.210.210.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.11-0.07-0.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.100.140.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0917.0917.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate4.35%4.35%4.35%
Growth Rate-2.21%-1.21%-0.21%
Fair Value$0.37$0.49$0.63
Upside / Downside-72.94%-64.72%-54.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.540.530.520.520.510.500.52
Payout Ratio61.68%67.35%73.01%78.67%84.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.330.360.380.410.430.450.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.35%4.35%4.35%
Growth Rate-2.21%-1.21%-0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)0.340.340.34
Year 2 PV (M)0.340.350.36
Year 3 PV (M)0.350.360.37
Year 4 PV (M)0.350.360.38
Year 5 PV (M)0.350.370.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)27.3028.7330.21
Equity Value (M)29.0330.5132.04
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0917.0917.09
Fair Value$1.70$1.78$1.87
Upside / Downside23.06%29.33%35.86%

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