Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Genki Global Dining Concepts Corp (9828.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,795.12 - $19,723.51$10,673.03
Multi-Stage$4,546.26 - $4,967.68$4,753.14
Blended Fair Value$7,713.08
Current Price$4,215.00
Upside82.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.76%34.92%79.9615.007.507.502.5015.0010.506.507.505.00
YoY Growth--433.14%100.01%0.00%200.00%-83.33%42.85%61.53%-13.34%49.99%24.99%
Dividend Yield--1.90%0.45%0.45%0.59%0.20%1.30%0.66%0.37%0.66%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,786.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,236.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,550.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)957.20598.25358.95
Cash Retained (M)3,550.003,550.003,550.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-957.20-598.25-358.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,592.802,951.753,191.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
LTM Dividend per Share70.0070.0070.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend216.83237.16250.71
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,795.12$10,673.03$19,723.51
Upside / Downside61.21%153.22%367.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,786.005,097.095,428.405,781.256,157.036,557.236,753.95
Payout Ratio25.83%38.66%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,236.001,970.552,795.373,719.084,751.075,901.516,247.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,793.061,810.061,827.06
Year 2 PV (M)2,314.492,358.582,403.08
Year 3 PV (M)2,801.962,882.402,964.36
Year 4 PV (M)3,257.073,382.333,511.16
Year 5 PV (M)3,681.353,859.164,043.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,430.6669,639.2972,970.72
Equity Value (M)80,278.6183,931.8287,720.15
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
Fair Value$4,546.26$4,753.14$4,967.68
Upside / Downside7.86%12.77%17.86%

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