Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Poly Plastic Masterbatch (SuZhou) Co.,Ltd (300905.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.54 - $34.40$22.40
Multi-Stage$11.48 - $12.52$11.99
Blended Fair Value$17.20
Current Price$37.14
Upside-53.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS185.64%0.00%0.500.160.330.430.210.000.010.020.010.00
YoY Growth--207.04%-50.00%-24.71%102.39%8,028.74%-48.93%-68.21%45.15%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.82%1.09%1.87%2.13%0.73%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8617.4110.45
Cash Retained (M)85.9385.9385.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.86-17.41-10.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.0768.5175.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)176.85176.85176.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.54$22.40$34.40
Upside / Downside-58.15%-39.68%-7.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.29148.35157.99168.26179.20190.84196.57
Payout Ratio38.31%48.65%58.99%69.33%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.3772.1793.19116.65142.75171.76181.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)65.1365.7466.36
Year 2 PV (M)75.8977.3378.79
Year 3 PV (M)85.7188.1790.68
Year 4 PV (M)94.6698.30102.04
Year 5 PV (M)102.78107.74112.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,605.541,683.091,763.60
Equity Value (M)2,029.702,120.382,214.38
Shares Outstanding (M)176.85176.85176.85
Fair Value$11.48$11.99$12.52
Upside / Downside-69.10%-67.72%-66.29%

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