Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Alleima AB (publ) (0ABJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.55 - $71.47$55.99
Multi-Stage$90.77 - $99.77$95.18
Blended Fair Value$75.59
Current Price$71.25
Upside6.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS201.83%0.00%2.001.400.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--42.74%11,600.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%1.97%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)979.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)575.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)404.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)195.80122.3873.43
Cash Retained (M)404.00404.00404.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-195.80-122.38-73.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)208.20281.63330.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.86250.86250.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.831.121.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.831.121.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.123.413.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$43.55$55.99$71.47
Upside / Downside-38.87%-21.42%0.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)979.00981.30983.60985.91988.23990.551,020.27
Payout Ratio58.73%64.99%71.24%77.49%83.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)575.00637.71700.72764.02827.61891.50943.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)593.67599.65605.63
Year 2 PV (M)607.26619.56631.99
Year 3 PV (M)616.38635.21654.41
Year 4 PV (M)621.57647.00673.21
Year 5 PV (M)623.30655.35688.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,707.6320,720.8221,775.27
Equity Value (M)22,769.8123,877.5925,029.20
Shares Outstanding (M)250.86250.86250.86
Fair Value$90.77$95.18$99.77
Upside / Downside27.39%33.59%40.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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