Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Andon Health Co., Ltd. (002432.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$96.46 - $238.64$144.29
Multi-Stage$66.10 - $72.28$69.13
Blended Fair Value$106.71
Current Price$38.79
Upside175.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS85.48%48.44%0.442.740.740.080.020.020.010.030.010.02
YoY Growth---83.93%268.50%778.04%449.54%-23.15%37.71%-42.44%143.36%-53.88%165.96%
Dividend Yield--1.05%6.28%1.68%0.11%0.19%0.22%0.19%0.28%0.07%0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,889.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)153.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,735.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)377.83236.14141.69
Cash Retained (M)1,735.661,735.661,735.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-377.83-236.14-141.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,357.831,499.521,593.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)432.91432.91432.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.143.463.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.143.463.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.493.824.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$96.46$144.29$238.64
Upside / Downside148.67%271.98%515.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,889.152,011.952,142.722,282.002,430.332,588.302,665.95
Payout Ratio8.12%24.50%40.87%57.25%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)153.49492.92875.841,306.441,789.332,329.472,466.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)446.67450.91455.14
Year 2 PV (M)719.19732.89746.71
Year 3 PV (M)972.121,000.031,028.46
Year 4 PV (M)1,206.511,252.901,300.63
Year 5 PV (M)1,423.331,492.081,563.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,847.3324,999.1626,195.08
Equity Value (M)28,615.1529,927.9631,289.48
Shares Outstanding (M)432.91432.91432.91
Fair Value$66.10$69.13$72.28
Upside / Downside70.40%78.22%86.33%

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