Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Walmart Inc. (WMT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.43 - $70.54$52.50
Multi-Stage$55.54 - $60.94$58.19
Blended Fair Value$55.35
Current Price$101.18
Upside-45.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.03%0.78%0.830.760.760.770.760.750.760.760.770.78
YoY Growth--8.93%0.43%-0.62%0.59%1.12%-0.88%-0.36%-1.48%-1.24%1.76%
Dividend Yield--0.86%1.29%1.51%1.50%1.63%1.86%2.21%2.58%3.08%3.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,910.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,314.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,596.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,582.002,863.751,718.25
Cash Retained (M)15,596.0015,596.0015,596.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,582.00-2,863.75-1,718.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,014.0012,732.2513,877.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,039.008,039.008,039.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.371.581.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.371.581.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.282.492.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate1.44%2.44%3.44%
Fair Value$39.43$52.50$70.54
Upside / Downside-61.03%-48.11%-30.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,910.0023,468.6124,040.8424,627.0325,227.5125,842.6326,617.91
Payout Ratio31.92%43.54%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,314.0010,218.2213,259.7216,443.4619,774.5823,258.3624,621.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate1.44%2.44%3.44%
Year 1 PV (M)9,429.759,522.719,615.67
Year 2 PV (M)11,292.3511,516.0911,742.03
Year 3 PV (M)12,923.1513,309.1213,702.71
Year 4 PV (M)14,341.9214,915.8815,506.90
Year 5 PV (M)15,566.9816,349.5717,163.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)382,914.59402,164.68422,181.29
Equity Value (M)446,468.74467,778.05489,911.93
Shares Outstanding (M)8,039.008,039.008,039.00
Fair Value$55.54$58.19$60.94
Upside / Downside-45.11%-42.49%-39.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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