Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.84 - $170.71$138.69
Multi-Stage$155.12 - $169.85$162.35
Blended Fair Value$150.52
Current Price$236.37
Upside-36.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.34%7.01%5.365.295.274.674.384.333.833.313.133.91
YoY Growth--1.26%0.44%12.82%6.63%1.08%13.01%15.99%5.48%-19.84%43.63%
Dividend Yield--2.27%2.17%2.62%1.71%1.99%3.07%2.24%2.46%2.96%4.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,052.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,824.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,410.40881.50528.90
Cash Retained (M)3,824.003,824.003,824.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,410.40-881.50-528.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,413.602,942.503,295.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)599.63599.63599.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.034.915.50
LTM Dividend per Share5.385.385.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.034.915.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4110.2910.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Fair Value$110.84$138.69$170.71
Upside / Downside-53.11%-41.33%-27.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,052.007,162.167,274.047,387.677,503.077,620.287,848.89
Payout Ratio45.77%54.62%63.46%72.31%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,228.003,911.934,616.445,342.006,089.116,858.257,260.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Year 1 PV (M)3,550.403,585.703,621.01
Year 2 PV (M)3,802.583,878.593,955.34
Year 3 PV (M)3,993.574,113.904,236.62
Year 4 PV (M)4,131.404,298.204,470.00
Year 5 PV (M)4,223.214,437.414,660.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,314.8577,033.3280,901.17
Equity Value (M)93,016.0197,347.12101,844.35
Shares Outstanding (M)599.63599.63599.63
Fair Value$155.12$162.35$169.85
Upside / Downside-34.37%-31.32%-28.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 32 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
603551.SSAUPU Intelligent Technology Corporation Limited4.75%$0.5570.57%
ABCB4.SABanco ABC Brasil S.A.4.75%$1.1227.47%
ASSA.JKPT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk4.75%$55.3753.84%
CHMF.MEPJSC Severstal4.75%$45.6947.39%
LMN.SWlastminute.com N.V.4.75%$0.6239.82%
LREN3.SALojas Renner S.A.4.75%$0.6445.84%
POT.NZPort of Tauranga Limited4.75%$0.3793.98%
005720.KSNexen Corporation4.74%$283.1621.67%
0DTK.LSavencia S.A.4.74%$2.9720.78%
1368.HKXtep International Holdings Limited4.74%$0.2535.82%
3030.SRSaudi Cement Company4.74%$1.6459.10%
EGIE3.SAEngie Brasil Energia S.A.4.74%$1.4839.71%
3570.TWOOtsuka Information Technology Corp.4.73%$7.9755.25%
600096.SSYunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd.4.73%$1.5851.07%
CHE-UN.TOChemtrade Logistics Income Fund4.73%$0.7071.01%
GVHGlobavend Holdings Limited4.73%$0.0761.06%
MOUR.BRMoury Construct S.A.4.73%$27.3520.85%
1578.HKBank of Tianjin Co., Ltd.4.72%$0.1210.90%
601598.SSSinotrans Limited4.72%$0.2956.81%
6393.TYuken Kogyo Co., Ltd.4.72%$152.0845.60%
7278.TEXEDY Corporation4.72%$264.7876.11%
SHURB.XDShurgard Self Storage Ltd4.72%$1.3821.77%
TDThe Toronto-Dominion Bank4.72%$4.4637.31%
0QLW.LALSO Holding AG4.71%$10.0755.86%
111110.KSHojeon Limited4.71%$377.8120.16%
3413.TWFoxsemicon Integrated Technology Inc.4.71%$13.2962.47%
BVG.BKBlueVenture Group Public Company Limited4.71%$0.0858.67%
DUNI.STDuni AB (publ)4.71%$5.0071.87%
002810.KSSamyung Trading Co., Ltd.4.70%$746.8222.45%
013520.KSHwaseung Corporation Co.,Ltd.4.70%$101.2413.31%
2S.BK2S Metal Public Company Limited4.70%$0.1176.54%
COLOR.BKSalee Colour Public Company Limited4.70%$0.0565.65%
GJTL.JKPT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk4.70%$49.8216.37%
JHSF3.SAJHSF Participações S.A.4.70%$0.3719.33%
0QLN.LTecan Group AG4.69%$6.0146.42%
2891.TWCTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd.4.69%$2.3963.03%
9536.SRArabian Food & Dairy Factories Company4.69%$2.7742.88%
KAMART.BKKarmarts Public Company Limited4.69%$0.4280.09%
SNW.DESanofi4.69%$3.8751.33%
WWL.WAWawel S.A.4.69%$35.0061.86%
603299.SSJiang Su Suyan Jingshen Co.,Ltd.4.68%$0.4972.35%
001790.KSTS Corporation4.67%$129.8523.71%
6049.HKPoly Property Services Co., Ltd.4.67%$1.5127.86%
ABRD.MEPJSC Abrau-Durso4.67%$7.7335.43%
CURY3.SACury Construtora e Incorporadora S.A.4.67%$1.4749.28%
INCI.JKPT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk4.67%$34.7631.60%
NTGY.MCNaturgy Energy Group, S.A.4.67%$1.2057.49%
1015.KLAMMB Holdings Berhad4.66%$0.3048.65%
1686.HKSUNeVision Holdings Ltd.4.66%$0.2247.87%
1834.SRSaudi Manpower Solutions Co.4.66%$0.2581.73%