Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Damai Sejahtera Abadi Tbk (UFOE.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,377.93 - $1,625.75$1,522.49
Multi-Stage$4,697.07 - $5,194.26$4,940.66
Blended Fair Value$3,231.57
Current Price$190.00
Upside1,600.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.000.670.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,918.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,202.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,715.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,983.652,489.781,493.87
Cash Retained (M)16,715.7516,715.7516,715.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,983.65-2,489.78-1,493.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,732.1014,225.9715,221.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.037.698.13
WACC / Discount Rate-30.30%-30.30%-30.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,377.93$1,522.49$1,625.75
Upside / Downside625.23%701.31%755.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,918.2519,719.0719,521.8819,326.6619,133.4018,942.0619,510.32
Payout Ratio16.08%30.86%45.65%60.43%75.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,202.506,085.818,911.1411,679.3514,391.3117,047.8618,047.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-30.30%-30.30%-30.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,643.448,731.648,819.84
Year 2 PV (M)17,975.0218,343.7318,716.18
Year 3 PV (M)33,459.7634,494.5335,550.41
Year 4 PV (M)58,556.1460,983.0263,484.56
Year 5 PV (M)98,516.74103,646.73108,988.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,429,091.0710,972,158.0411,537,616.03
Equity Value (M)10,646,242.1711,198,357.6811,773,175.26
Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
Fair Value$4,697.07$4,940.66$5,194.26
Upside / Downside2,372.14%2,500.35%2,633.82%

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