Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Tunas Alfin Tbk (TALF.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$980.73 - $4,171.00$2,428.14
Multi-Stage$495.12 - $541.47$517.87
Blended Fair Value$1,473.01
Current Price$300.00
Upside391.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.92%12.33%8.005.000.000.000.006.003.003.003.004.00
YoY Growth--60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%-25.00%60.00%
Dividend Yield--2.94%1.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.48%0.99%0.79%0.77%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,385.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,827.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,558.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,677.113,548.192,128.92
Cash Retained (M)17,558.0717,558.0717,558.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,677.11-3,548.19-2,128.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,880.9614,009.8715,429.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,353.441,353.441,353.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.7810.3511.40
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.7810.3511.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.7818.3519.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$980.73$2,428.14$4,171.00
Upside / Downside226.91%709.38%1,290.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,385.5530,230.6132,195.6034,288.3136,517.0538,890.6640,057.38
Payout Ratio38.14%48.52%58.89%69.26%79.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,827.4814,666.5218,958.8923,747.3129,078.1235,001.5937,053.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,539.7413,668.0813,796.42
Year 2 PV (M)16,157.7016,465.4616,776.12
Year 3 PV (M)18,683.7619,220.1019,766.61
Year 4 PV (M)21,120.2721,932.4922,767.92
Year 5 PV (M)23,469.5224,603.1125,780.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)577,135.00605,010.83633,953.54
Equity Value (M)670,105.99700,900.08732,840.71
Shares Outstanding (M)1,353.441,353.441,353.44
Fair Value$495.12$517.87$541.47
Upside / Downside65.04%72.62%80.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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