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Sonda S.A. (SONDA.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$551.15 - $1,109.92$767.91
Multi-Stage$753.05 - $825.49$788.59
Blended Fair Value$778.25
Current Price$355.74
Upside118.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.00%-8.70%15.4925.508.8931.668.5312.7332.6217.0329.5828.11
YoY Growth---39.27%186.82%-71.91%271.29%-33.01%-60.98%91.50%-42.41%5.24%-27.00%
Dividend Yield--3.85%5.84%2.12%10.09%1.85%2.83%3.13%1.46%2.60%2.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,374.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,354.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,019.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,674.843,546.782,128.07
Cash Retained (M)12,019.8512,019.8512,019.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,674.84-3,546.78-2,128.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,345.018,473.079,891.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)870.83870.83870.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.299.7311.36
LTM Dividend per Share18.7818.7818.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.299.7311.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.0728.5130.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Fair Value$551.15$767.91$1,109.92
Upside / Downside54.93%115.86%212.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,374.2029,225.3230,101.9731,004.9131,934.9332,892.8633,879.64
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.58%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,354.3618,736.4921,246.8323,890.9126,674.4929,603.5731,338.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate2.00%3.00%4.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17,369.3617,539.6517,709.94
Year 2 PV (M)18,259.3518,619.1318,982.42
Year 3 PV (M)19,033.5319,598.8520,175.25
Year 4 PV (M)19,700.5520,484.5621,291.74
Year 5 PV (M)20,268.5221,281.7522,335.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)561,153.73589,206.05618,369.20
Equity Value (M)655,785.04686,730.00718,863.66
Shares Outstanding (M)870.83870.83870.83
Fair Value$753.05$788.59$825.49
Upside / Downside111.69%121.68%132.05%

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