Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (NCKL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,276.37 - $24,961.39$17,005.11
Multi-Stage$3,029.51 - $3,314.67$3,169.48
Blended Fair Value$10,087.30
Current Price$1,190.00
Upside747.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS67.71%0.00%26.4950.218.2615.020.002.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---47.24%507.68%-45.01%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.84%5.67%0.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,987,289.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,367,057.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,620,232.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,597,457.80998,411.13599,046.68
Cash Retained (M)5,620,232.005,620,232.005,620,232.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,597,457.80-998,411.13-599,046.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,022,774.204,621,820.885,021,185.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63,637.1663,637.1663,637.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share63.2172.6378.90
LTM Dividend per Share37.2037.2037.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share63.2172.6378.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.41109.82116.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,276.37$17,005.11$24,961.39
Upside / Downside427.43%1,329.00%1,997.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,987,289.008,506,462.799,059,382.879,648,242.7510,275,378.5310,943,278.1411,271,576.48
Payout Ratio29.64%41.71%53.78%65.85%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,367,057.003,547,895.874,872,242.976,353,765.338,007,300.389,848,950.3210,426,208.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,278,901.193,309,980.833,341,060.46
Year 2 PV (M)4,161,442.224,240,706.004,320,717.56
Year 3 PV (M)5,015,376.815,159,350.265,306,052.97
Year 4 PV (M)5,841,387.056,066,030.316,297,091.47
Year 5 PV (M)6,640,140.606,960,861.877,293,857.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)167,852,204.65175,959,528.89184,377,139.52
Equity Value (M)192,789,452.52201,696,458.16210,935,919.89
Shares Outstanding (M)63,637.1663,637.1663,637.16
Fair Value$3,029.51$3,169.48$3,314.67
Upside / Downside154.58%166.34%178.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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