Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,032.30 - $18,452.99$9,177.77
Multi-Stage$2,133.93 - $2,332.58$2,231.45
Blended Fair Value$5,704.61
Current Price$2,460.00
Upside131.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.02%0.06%34.0037.0036.0136.8621.5018.440.0435.5726.1620.93
YoY Growth---8.11%2.76%-2.33%71.43%16.62%42,637.12%-99.88%36.00%25.00%-38.08%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.38%1.23%1.70%0.82%0.86%0.00%1.70%0.99%0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,290,432.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)598,021.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)692,410.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)258,086.43161,304.0296,782.41
Cash Retained (M)692,410.39692,410.39692,410.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-258,086.43-161,304.02-96,782.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)434,323.96531,106.37595,627.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,907.4813,907.4813,907.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.2338.1942.83
LTM Dividend per Share43.0043.0043.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.2338.1942.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend74.2381.1985.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,032.30$9,177.77$18,452.99
Upside / Downside63.91%273.08%650.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,290,432.131,374,310.221,463,640.381,558,777.011,660,097.521,768,003.851,821,043.97
Payout Ratio46.34%55.07%63.81%72.54%81.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)598,021.74756,890.37933,885.271,130,691.641,349,137.181,591,203.471,684,465.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)697,848.66704,463.34711,078.02
Year 2 PV (M)793,871.25808,992.26824,255.93
Year 3 PV (M)886,194.41911,633.86937,555.57
Year 4 PV (M)974,920.511,012,413.201,050,977.04
Year 5 PV (M)1,060,149.441,111,355.051,164,520.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,264,635.6826,484,927.0327,751,921.80
Equity Value (M)29,677,619.9431,033,784.7532,440,308.78
Shares Outstanding (M)13,907.4813,907.4813,907.48
Fair Value$2,133.93$2,231.45$2,332.58
Upside / Downside-13.25%-9.29%-5.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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