Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,756.80 - $7,956.09$4,322.89
Multi-Stage$1,813.67 - $1,983.60$1,897.09
Blended Fair Value$3,109.99
Current Price$1,180.00
Upside163.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.33%18.20%10.6610.130.000.000.009.983.992.500.000.00
YoY Growth--5.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%150.04%60.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.11%0.40%0.32%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,829,206.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176,822.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,652,384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365,841.20228,650.75137,190.45
Cash Retained (M)1,652,384.001,652,384.001,652,384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-365,841.20-228,650.75-137,190.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,286,542.801,423,733.251,515,193.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,569.8116,569.8116,569.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.6485.9291.44
LTM Dividend per Share10.6710.6710.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.6485.9291.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend88.3296.59102.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,756.80$4,322.89$7,956.09
Upside / Downside133.63%266.35%574.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,829,206.001,948,104.392,074,731.182,209,588.702,353,211.972,506,170.752,581,355.87
Payout Ratio9.67%25.73%41.80%57.87%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176,822.00501,311.13867,236.781,278,614.731,739,807.732,255,553.672,387,754.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)456,103.23460,426.48464,749.73
Year 2 PV (M)717,875.74731,549.25745,351.77
Year 3 PV (M)962,957.41990,600.461,018,767.53
Year 4 PV (M)1,192,132.231,237,978.271,285,134.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,406,151.551,474,069.201,544,586.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,316,913.7026,539,730.0927,809,346.55
Equity Value (M)30,052,133.8631,434,353.7632,867,935.90
Shares Outstanding (M)16,569.8116,569.8116,569.81
Fair Value$1,813.67$1,897.09$1,983.60
Upside / Downside53.70%60.77%68.10%

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