Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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PT Indospring Tbk (INDS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$152.66 - $281.22$205.63
Multi-Stage$255.10 - $279.70$267.17
Blended Fair Value$236.40
Current Price$234.00
Upside1.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.12%2.98%10.5610.567.498.479.829.999.994.920.005.42
YoY Growth--0.03%40.96%-11.59%-13.74%-1.65%0.00%103.09%0.00%-100.00%-31.21%
Dividend Yield--4.98%4.78%0.37%0.39%0.53%0.76%4.78%3.09%0.00%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68,906.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,193.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,713.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,781.368,613.355,168.01
Cash Retained (M)12,713.7912,713.7912,713.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,781.36-8,613.35-5,168.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1,067.574,100.447,545.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,562.506,562.506,562.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.160.621.15
LTM Dividend per Share8.568.568.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.160.621.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.409.199.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Fair Value$152.66$205.63$281.22
Upside / Downside-34.76%-12.13%20.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68,906.8170,271.8471,663.9173,083.5674,531.3376,007.7878,288.01
Payout Ratio81.55%83.24%84.93%86.62%88.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,193.0158,493.8860,863.8563,304.7765,818.5168,407.0072,416.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)54,366.0654,904.4455,442.82
Year 2 PV (M)52,576.8353,623.3054,680.09
Year 3 PV (M)50,826.3452,351.3253,906.50
Year 4 PV (M)49,115.4251,090.0453,123.62
Year 5 PV (M)47,444.7149,840.9052,332.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,419,758.811,491,463.301,566,036.09
Equity Value (M)1,674,088.171,753,273.301,835,522.05
Shares Outstanding (M)6,562.506,562.506,562.50
Fair Value$255.10$267.17$279.70
Upside / Downside9.02%14.17%19.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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