Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Inversiones La Construcción S.A. (ILC.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$162,585.09 - $449,370.68$421,126.13
Multi-Stage$62,587.87 - $68,513.72$65,496.34
Blended Fair Value$243,311.24
Current Price$12,999.00
Upside1,771.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.90%-2.12%524.68720.86415.03373.19256.80477.48664.95808.79608.58665.17
YoY Growth---27.21%73.69%11.21%45.33%-46.22%-28.19%-17.78%32.90%-8.51%2.34%
Dividend Yield--4.90%9.00%9.42%11.01%4.63%8.71%5.61%6.87%6.88%8.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223,757.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,247.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)159,509.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44,751.5627,969.7216,781.83
Cash Retained (M)159,509.85159,509.85159,509.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-44,751.56-27,969.72-16,781.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)114,758.29131,540.13142,728.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)99.0399.0399.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,158.861,328.331,441.30
LTM Dividend per Share648.79648.79648.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,158.861,328.331,441.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,807.651,977.122,090.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$162,585.09$421,126.13$449,370.68
Upside / Downside1,150.75%3,139.68%3,356.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223,757.79238,302.04253,791.68270,288.14287,856.86306,567.56315,764.59
Payout Ratio28.71%40.97%53.23%65.49%77.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,247.9497,633.61135,087.97176,998.90223,787.51275,910.81292,082.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90,666.7091,526.1092,385.50
Year 2 PV (M)116,496.70118,715.64120,955.51
Year 3 PV (M)141,747.69145,816.76149,962.96
Year 4 PV (M)166,429.28172,829.68179,412.93
Year 5 PV (M)190,550.93199,754.61209,310.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,491,997.535,757,263.076,032,680.94
Equity Value (M)6,197,888.836,485,905.856,784,708.37
Shares Outstanding (M)99.0399.0399.03
Fair Value$62,587.87$65,496.34$68,513.72
Upside / Downside381.48%403.86%427.07%

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