Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Hartadinata Abadi Tbk (HRTA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,593.05 - $9,357.70$5,462.97
Multi-Stage$2,441.20 - $2,668.79$2,552.92
Blended Fair Value$4,007.94
Current Price$915.00
Upside338.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.47%0.00%15.0012.0010.008.008.007.006.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.00%20.00%25.00%0.00%14.29%16.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.88%3.02%2.70%3.77%3.92%2.69%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)716,018.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96,710.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)619,308.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143,203.7589,502.3453,701.40
Cash Retained (M)619,308.22619,308.22619,308.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-143,203.75-89,502.34-53,701.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)476,104.48529,805.88565,606.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,605.264,605.264,605.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share103.38115.04122.82
LTM Dividend per Share21.0021.0021.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share103.38115.04122.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend124.38136.04143.82
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,593.05$5,462.97$9,357.70
Upside / Downside292.68%497.05%922.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)716,018.73762,559.95812,126.35864,914.56921,134.01981,007.721,010,437.95
Payout Ratio13.51%28.81%44.10%59.40%74.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96,710.51219,658.15358,180.37513,782.43688,099.45882,906.94934,655.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199,350.74201,240.32203,129.90
Year 2 PV (M)295,014.15300,633.34306,305.54
Year 3 PV (M)384,052.71395,077.49406,311.25
Year 4 PV (M)466,802.66484,754.58503,219.36
Year 5 PV (M)543,585.14569,840.51597,100.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,353,553.099,805,333.2110,274,404.01
Equity Value (M)11,242,358.5011,756,879.4312,290,470.79
Shares Outstanding (M)4,605.264,605.264,605.26
Fair Value$2,441.20$2,552.92$2,668.79
Upside / Downside166.80%179.01%191.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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