Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Hasnur Internasional Shipping Tbk (HAIS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,176.95 - $7,541.80$7,067.77
Multi-Stage$1,111.35 - $1,216.26$1,162.84
Blended Fair Value$4,115.31
Current Price$187.00
Upside2,100.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS77.24%0.00%19.9813.253.991.761.741.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--50.79%232.36%127.10%0.99%52.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.70%5.18%1.90%0.82%0.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99,593.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40,357.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,236.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,918.7012,449.197,469.51
Cash Retained (M)59,236.2059,236.2059,236.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,918.70-12,449.19-7,469.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,317.5046,787.0151,766.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,626.252,626.252,626.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.9717.8219.71
LTM Dividend per Share15.3715.3715.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.9717.8219.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.3433.1835.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,176.95$7,067.77$7,541.80
Upside / Downside1,598.91%3,679.56%3,933.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99,593.51106,067.08112,961.44120,303.94128,123.69136,451.73140,545.29
Payout Ratio40.52%50.42%60.31%70.21%80.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40,357.3153,476.5068,130.6884,463.96102,632.72122,806.56130,004.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)49,737.7150,209.1650,680.61
Year 2 PV (M)58,937.0560,059.6461,192.81
Year 3 PV (M)67,957.9069,908.7371,896.54
Year 4 PV (M)76,802.8379,756.4582,794.45
Year 5 PV (M)85,474.3489,602.7893,889.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,579,763.522,704,367.072,833,739.48
Equity Value (M)2,918,673.363,053,903.833,194,193.12
Shares Outstanding (M)2,626.252,626.252,626.25
Fair Value$1,111.35$1,162.84$1,216.26
Upside / Downside494.30%521.84%550.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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