Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited (DRREDDY.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,537.80 - $3,762.35$2,292.07
Multi-Stage$1,061.60 - $1,160.55$1,110.18
Blended Fair Value$1,701.12
Current Price$1,223.70
Upside39.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.21%8.07%7.997.975.974.974.974.704.804.794.064.92
YoY Growth--0.21%33.52%20.09%-0.02%5.90%-2.15%0.25%17.76%-17.44%33.88%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.63%0.58%0.57%0.46%0.60%0.90%1.07%0.76%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,621.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,659.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)51,962.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,724.207,327.634,396.58
Cash Retained (M)51,962.0051,962.0051,962.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,724.20-7,327.63-4,396.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,237.8044,634.3847,565.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)834.00834.00834.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share48.2553.5257.03
LTM Dividend per Share7.987.987.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share48.2553.5257.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.2361.5065.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,537.80$2,292.07$3,762.35
Upside / Downside25.67%87.31%207.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,621.0062,431.3766,489.4070,811.2175,413.9480,315.8582,725.33
Payout Ratio11.36%27.09%42.82%58.54%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,659.0016,911.1128,467.8741,455.5556,011.3672,284.2776,520.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15,318.8315,464.0315,609.24
Year 2 PV (M)23,359.4123,804.3424,253.47
Year 3 PV (M)30,813.6431,698.1932,599.51
Year 4 PV (M)37,712.8939,163.2340,654.99
Year 5 PV (M)44,087.0446,216.4748,427.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)734,085.59769,542.20806,355.82
Equity Value (M)885,377.41925,888.46967,900.41
Shares Outstanding (M)834.00834.00834.00
Fair Value$1,061.60$1,110.18$1,160.55
Upside / Downside-13.25%-9.28%-5.16%

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