Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CEZ, a. s. (CEZ.PR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,534.36 - $10,614.84$9,947.66
Multi-Stage$1,620.41 - $1,770.61$1,694.14
Blended Fair Value$5,820.90
Current Price$1,287.00
Upside352.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.83%2.74%52.02144.2047.7251.7933.7423.9032.7732.8139.7139.68
YoY Growth---63.92%202.17%-7.86%53.53%41.13%-27.05%-0.12%-17.38%0.08%-0.05%
Dividend Yield--4.55%17.30%4.54%5.59%6.13%5.86%6.05%6.38%9.11%9.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,662.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25,213.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,449.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,732.403,582.752,149.65
Cash Retained (M)3,449.003,449.003,449.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,732.40-3,582.75-2,149.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,283.40-133.751,299.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)537.00537.00537.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.25-0.252.42
LTM Dividend per Share46.9546.9546.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.25-0.252.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.7046.7049.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,534.36$9,947.66$10,614.84
Upside / Downside252.32%672.93%724.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,662.0030,525.0332,509.1634,622.2536,872.7039,269.4240,447.51
Payout Ratio87.97%88.37%88.78%89.19%89.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25,213.0026,975.9828,861.6330,878.4333,035.4835,342.4837,413.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25,093.2625,331.1125,568.96
Year 2 PV (M)24,973.5625,449.2425,929.40
Year 3 PV (M)24,853.9125,567.3726,294.37
Year 4 PV (M)24,734.3225,685.5326,663.92
Year 5 PV (M)24,614.7925,803.7027,038.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)745,888.88781,915.59819,321.13
Equity Value (M)870,158.72909,752.54950,815.88
Shares Outstanding (M)537.00537.00537.00
Fair Value$1,620.41$1,694.14$1,770.61
Upside / Downside25.91%31.64%37.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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