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Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited (BBL-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$422.77 - $854.71$589.89
Multi-Stage$538.21 - $590.31$563.77
Blended Fair Value$576.83
Current Price$139.00
Upside314.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.01%0.74%7.005.004.003.505.006.336.326.326.306.50
YoY Growth--39.99%25.04%14.26%-30.01%-21.07%0.22%0.09%0.28%-3.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.75%3.60%2.64%2.55%3.97%6.30%3.04%3.21%3.47%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,338.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,222.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,115.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,467.665,917.293,550.37
Cash Retained (M)31,115.4631,115.4631,115.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,467.66-5,917.29-3,550.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,647.8025,198.1727,565.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,908.841,908.841,908.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.3413.2014.44
LTM Dividend per Share8.508.508.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.3413.2014.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.8421.7022.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Fair Value$422.77$589.89$854.71
Upside / Downside204.15%324.38%514.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,338.3248,869.1950,449.5752,081.0653,765.3155,504.0357,169.15
Payout Ratio34.27%45.42%56.56%67.71%78.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,222.8622,194.4428,535.3035,263.0542,396.1049,953.6252,881.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)20,535.5120,736.3820,937.24
Year 2 PV (M)24,428.9524,909.1925,394.11
Year 3 PV (M)27,932.1028,759.7929,603.68
Year 4 PV (M)31,072.1132,305.7933,575.85
Year 5 PV (M)33,874.5135,563.9637,320.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)889,506.25933,869.16979,984.71
Equity Value (M)1,027,349.431,076,144.271,126,815.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,908.841,908.841,908.84
Fair Value$538.21$563.77$590.31
Upside / Downside287.20%305.59%324.69%

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