Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.41 - $199.04$151.42
Multi-Stage$91.72 - $100.02$95.80
Blended Fair Value$123.61
Current Price$231.33
Upside-46.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.95%11.01%1.711.471.201.081.030.970.950.750.530.55
YoY Growth--16.11%22.26%11.68%4.18%6.48%2.08%27.44%40.70%-3.15%-8.83%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.84%0.71%1.00%0.75%1.63%1.61%1.93%0.96%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,998.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,384.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,614.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,399.60874.75524.85
Cash Retained (M)5,614.005,614.005,614.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,399.60-874.75-524.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,214.404,739.255,089.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)810.75810.75810.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.205.856.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.711.711.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.205.856.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.917.557.98
WACC / Discount Rate11.81%11.81%11.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$115.41$151.42$199.04
Upside / Downside-50.11%-34.55%-13.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,998.007,452.877,937.318,453.239,002.699,587.879,875.50
Payout Ratio19.78%33.82%47.87%61.91%75.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,384.002,520.683,799.295,233.476,838.038,629.089,134.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.81%11.81%11.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,233.222,254.392,275.56
Year 2 PV (M)2,982.153,038.963,096.29
Year 3 PV (M)3,639.413,743.883,850.34
Year 4 PV (M)4,212.954,374.974,541.61
Year 5 PV (M)4,710.134,937.635,173.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,583.0759,316.0562,153.63
Equity Value (M)74,360.9377,665.8881,091.28
Shares Outstanding (M)810.75810.75810.75
Fair Value$91.72$95.80$100.02
Upside / Downside-60.35%-58.59%-56.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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