Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PJSC Acron (AKRN.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$217,005.19 - $255,694.52$239,611.31
Multi-Stage$465,374.45 - $511,188.66$487,850.60
Blended Fair Value$363,730.96
Current Price$15,830.00
Upside2,197.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.34%5.29%283.540.00158.58861.95452.13393.44364.99358.64366.83152.97
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-81.60%90.64%14.92%7.79%1.77%-2.23%139.80%-9.67%
Dividend Yield--1.74%0.00%0.86%3.75%7.29%6.57%8.04%8.63%11.09%4.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,020.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)33,792.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,404.005,877.503,526.50
Cash Retained (M)33,792.0033,792.0033,792.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,404.00-5,877.50-3,526.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)24,388.0027,914.5030,265.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.3836.3836.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share670.39767.32831.95
LTM Dividend per Share363.62363.62363.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share670.39767.32831.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,034.001,130.941,195.57
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$217,005.19$239,611.31$255,694.52
Upside / Downside1,270.85%1,413.65%1,515.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,020.0049,810.4052,766.3955,897.8159,215.0662,729.1864,611.05
Payout Ratio28.13%40.51%52.88%65.25%77.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,228.0020,176.2827,902.6736,475.0545,966.6156,456.2659,765.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)24,730.7924,966.4625,202.14
Year 2 PV (M)41,921.7442,724.5543,534.98
Year 3 PV (M)67,171.6669,110.4071,086.10
Year 4 PV (M)103,759.86107,771.99111,899.35
Year 5 PV (M)156,205.31163,791.52171,669.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,536,067.6017,339,152.1818,173,139.89
Equity Value (M)16,929,856.9517,747,517.1118,596,532.12
Shares Outstanding (M)36.3836.3836.38
Fair Value$465,374.45$487,850.60$511,188.66
Upside / Downside2,839.83%2,981.81%3,129.24%

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