Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Konami Group Corporation (9766.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,054.64 - $26,143.57$17,249.01
Multi-Stage$8,830.20 - $9,639.97$9,227.77
Blended Fair Value$13,238.39
Current Price$21,350.00
Upside-37.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.51%17.87%134.91123.90147.5485.5228.98103.1698.1470.7529.3923.50
YoY Growth--8.88%-16.02%72.52%195.06%-71.90%5.12%38.72%140.71%25.09%-9.82%
Dividend Yield--0.59%1.08%1.96%1.14%0.43%2.87%1.91%1.25%0.47%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84,777.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,418.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)62,359.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,955.4010,597.136,358.28
Cash Retained (M)62,359.0062,359.0062,359.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,955.40-10,597.13-6,358.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,403.6051,761.8856,000.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
LTM Dividend per Share165.38165.38165.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend500.32547.23578.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,054.64$17,249.01$26,143.57
Upside / Downside-43.54%-19.21%22.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84,777.0090,287.5196,156.19102,406.35109,062.76116,151.84119,636.39
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.87%64.58%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,418.0035,351.8949,872.4666,131.3584,293.19104,536.65110,663.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31,871.4532,173.5532,475.65
Year 2 PV (M)40,535.8541,307.9442,087.32
Year 3 PV (M)48,459.0749,850.1551,267.61
Year 4 PV (M)55,686.4257,827.9760,030.69
Year 5 PV (M)62,260.8065,268.0268,390.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)958,170.511,004,450.501,052,501.74
Equity Value (M)1,196,984.101,250,878.131,306,753.34
Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
Fair Value$8,830.20$9,227.77$9,639.97
Upside / Downside-58.64%-56.78%-54.85%

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