Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Capcom Co., Ltd. (9697.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,482.97 - $26,488.74$24,823.83
Multi-Stage$16,349.66 - $17,943.19$17,131.55
Blended Fair Value$20,977.69
Current Price$4,933.00
Upside325.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS31.58%22.28%40.2234.1025.9820.9112.7410.208.506.556.685.33
YoY Growth--17.92%31.27%24.28%64.04%24.99%20.01%29.80%-2.00%25.40%-1.02%
Dividend Yield--0.82%1.12%0.91%1.27%0.78%1.04%1.52%0.96%2.01%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55,716.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,065.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,651.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,143.206,964.504,178.70
Cash Retained (M)38,651.0038,651.0038,651.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,143.20-6,964.50-4,178.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,507.8031,686.5034,472.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)418.31418.31418.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.7675.7582.41
LTM Dividend per Share40.8040.8040.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.7675.7582.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend106.55116.54123.20
WACC / Discount Rate0.93%0.93%0.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,482.97$24,823.83$26,488.74
Upside / Downside355.77%403.22%436.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55,716.0059,337.5463,194.4867,302.1271,676.7676,335.7578,625.82
Payout Ratio30.63%42.50%54.38%66.25%78.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,065.0025,220.1434,363.3444,588.6155,997.9868,702.1772,728.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.93%0.93%0.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,753.6324,988.2625,222.89
Year 2 PV (M)33,103.8433,734.3734,370.86
Year 3 PV (M)42,159.7843,370.0444,603.24
Year 4 PV (M)51,968.2753,966.8256,022.47
Year 5 PV (M)62,578.8965,601.4868,739.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,624,671.226,944,645.327,276,865.58
Equity Value (M)6,839,235.647,166,306.307,505,824.79
Shares Outstanding (M)418.31418.31418.31
Fair Value$16,349.66$17,131.55$17,943.19
Upside / Downside231.43%247.28%263.74%

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