Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

TRE Holdings Corporation (9247.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,172.56 - $66,145.37$36,457.76
Multi-Stage$7,541.09 - $8,259.18$7,893.53
Blended Fair Value$22,175.64
Current Price$1,555.00
Upside1,326.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS34.71%0.00%41.8342.1546.9516.9413.149.4311.859.638.706.22
YoY Growth---0.77%-10.23%177.23%28.88%39.40%-20.44%23.06%10.67%39.94%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.06%3.29%3.79%0.90%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,476.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)522.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,954.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,295.202,059.501,235.70
Cash Retained (M)15,954.0015,954.0015,954.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,295.20-2,059.50-1,235.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,658.8013,894.5014,718.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.5449.5449.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share255.54280.49297.12
LTM Dividend per Share10.5410.5410.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share255.54280.49297.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend266.08291.02307.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15,172.56$36,457.76$66,145.37
Upside / Downside875.73%2,244.55%4,153.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,476.0017,546.9418,687.4919,902.1821,195.8222,573.5523,250.75
Payout Ratio3.17%20.53%37.90%55.27%72.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)522.003,603.197,082.7410,999.4015,395.3020,316.1921,506.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,324.973,356.493,388.00
Year 2 PV (M)6,031.176,146.056,262.01
Year 3 PV (M)8,643.108,891.219,144.03
Year 4 PV (M)11,163.2111,592.5212,034.09
Year 5 PV (M)13,593.8914,250.4814,932.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)330,809.17346,787.38363,377.11
Equity Value (M)373,565.51391,024.12409,137.43
Shares Outstanding (M)49.5449.5449.54
Fair Value$7,541.09$7,893.53$8,259.18
Upside / Downside384.96%407.62%431.14%

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