Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Japan Excellent, Inc. (8987.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$148,271.75 - $248,915.57$192,412.51
Multi-Stage$253,275.15 - $277,772.24$265,290.29
Blended Fair Value$228,851.40
Current Price$133,500.00
Upside71.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.65%2.67%5,684.485,656.835,732.806,067.635,901.675,503.395,393.785,185.574,737.034,636.01
YoY Growth--0.49%-1.33%-5.52%2.81%7.24%2.03%4.02%9.47%2.18%6.14%
Dividend Yield--4.89%4.51%4.38%4.55%4.61%3.13%3.64%3.96%3.19%3.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,444.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11,270.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,173.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,288.892,055.561,233.34
Cash Retained (M)5,173.565,173.565,173.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,288.89-2,055.56-1,233.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,884.673,118.003,940.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.321.321.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,423.352,354.802,975.77
LTM Dividend per Share8,512.108,512.108,512.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,423.352,354.802,975.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend9,935.4610,866.9011,487.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$148,271.75$192,412.51$248,915.57
Upside / Downside11.06%44.13%86.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,444.4716,661.1816,880.7417,103.2017,328.5917,556.9518,083.66
Payout Ratio68.54%72.83%77.12%81.42%85.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11,270.9112,134.5613,019.0213,924.6914,851.9615,801.2616,727.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)11,224.5911,336.4811,448.37
Year 2 PV (M)11,139.6411,362.8311,588.24
Year 3 PV (M)11,021.0911,353.9711,693.49
Year 4 PV (M)10,873.4911,313.5811,766.89
Year 5 PV (M)10,700.9711,245.0611,811.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)280,402.87294,660.01309,491.27
Equity Value (M)335,362.64351,271.93367,799.33
Shares Outstanding (M)1.321.321.32
Fair Value$253,275.15$265,290.29$277,772.24
Upside / Downside89.72%98.72%108.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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