Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Suzuki Motor Corporation (7269.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,845.40 - $2,748.36$2,275.19
Multi-Stage$1,552.62 - $1,688.95$1,619.59
Blended Fair Value$1,947.39
Current Price$1,743.00
Upside11.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.74%18.07%36.7526.3524.1724.6721.3817.6918.8413.037.788.37
YoY Growth--39.49%9.01%-2.02%15.36%20.84%-6.06%44.52%67.61%-7.14%19.98%
Dividend Yield--2.11%1.44%1.86%2.31%1.82%1.94%1.47%0.85%0.58%1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403,843.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79,144.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)324,699.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80,768.6050,480.3830,288.23
Cash Retained (M)324,699.00324,699.00324,699.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-80,768.60-50,480.38-30,288.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)243,930.40274,218.63294,410.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,929.311,929.311,929.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share126.43142.13152.60
LTM Dividend per Share41.0241.0241.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share126.43142.13152.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend167.46183.15193.62
WACC / Discount Rate15.07%15.07%15.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,845.40$2,275.19$2,748.36
Upside / Downside5.87%30.53%57.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403,843.00430,092.80458,048.83487,822.00519,530.43553,299.91569,898.91
Payout Ratio19.60%33.68%47.76%61.84%75.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79,144.00144,847.39218,757.84301,664.67394,425.13497,969.92527,156.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.07%15.07%15.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)124,692.09125,874.00127,055.92
Year 2 PV (M)162,113.82165,201.64168,318.58
Year 3 PV (M)192,446.09197,970.52203,599.68
Year 4 PV (M)216,609.46224,939.65233,507.83
Year 5 PV (M)235,420.44246,791.34258,597.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,064,210.352,163,912.482,267,430.45
Equity Value (M)2,995,492.263,124,689.643,258,509.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,929.311,929.311,929.31
Fair Value$1,552.62$1,619.59$1,688.95
Upside / Downside-10.92%-7.08%-3.10%

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