Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KYB Corporation (7242.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,339.93 - $10,567.21$8,203.04
Multi-Stage$11,890.24 - $13,081.44$12,474.27
Blended Fair Value$10,338.66
Current Price$3,925.00
Upside163.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%8.82%120.43137.0186.2467.010.000.0041.3972.4156.9062.09
YoY Growth---12.10%58.86%28.71%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-42.84%27.26%-8.35%20.00%
Dividend Yield--4.04%5.03%3.42%4.33%0.00%0.00%2.62%2.87%1.98%3.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,361.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,491.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,370.403,356.502,013.90
Cash Retained (M)20,491.0020,491.0020,491.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,370.40-3,356.50-2,013.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,120.6017,134.5018,477.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
LTM Dividend per Share128.81128.81128.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend435.00475.78502.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Fair Value$6,339.93$8,203.04$10,567.21
Upside / Downside61.53%108.99%169.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,852.0027,039.1927,227.6927,417.5127,608.6427,801.1128,635.14
Payout Ratio23.69%36.95%50.21%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,361.009,991.3313,671.9717,403.4421,186.2725,021.0026,487.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Year 1 PV (M)9,285.099,378.229,471.35
Year 2 PV (M)11,807.4512,045.5112,285.94
Year 3 PV (M)13,967.6414,392.1714,825.22
Year 4 PV (M)15,801.7416,445.3417,108.39
Year 5 PV (M)17,342.7418,230.1419,153.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)518,972.67545,527.52573,158.43
Equity Value (M)587,177.33616,018.89646,002.82
Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
Fair Value$11,890.24$12,474.27$13,081.44
Upside / Downside202.94%217.82%233.29%

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