Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Morita Holdings Corporation (6455.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38,909.26 - $45,861.11$42,969.56
Multi-Stage$25,446.96 - $27,985.74$26,692.11
Blended Fair Value$34,830.84
Current Price$2,324.00
Upside1,398.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.53%9.92%49.6347.6441.7640.0239.9139.7730.3630.3623.0428.51
YoY Growth--4.18%14.09%4.34%0.29%0.35%30.97%0.00%31.76%-19.17%47.96%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.60%2.69%3.03%2.50%2.11%1.57%1.36%1.31%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,179.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,501.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,035.801,272.38763.43
Cash Retained (M)7,678.007,678.007,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,035.80-1,272.38-763.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,642.206,405.636,914.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
LTM Dividend per Share57.9257.9257.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend188.60206.28218.07
WACC / Discount Rate1.26%1.26%1.26%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$38,909.26$42,969.56$45,861.11
Upside / Downside1,574.24%1,748.95%1,873.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,179.0010,601.6511,041.8411,500.3111,977.8212,475.1612,849.42
Payout Ratio24.57%37.66%50.74%63.83%76.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,501.003,992.175,602.867,340.439,212.6311,227.6411,885.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.26%1.26%1.26%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)3,904.823,942.673,980.53
Year 2 PV (M)5,360.355,464.785,570.23
Year 3 PV (M)6,869.047,070.757,276.38
Year 4 PV (M)8,432.378,764.149,105.61
Year 5 PV (M)10,051.8510,548.6211,064.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,064,100.001,116,688.951,171,336.85
Equity Value (M)1,098,718.421,152,479.921,208,334.44
Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
Fair Value$25,446.96$26,692.11$27,985.74
Upside / Downside994.96%1,048.54%1,104.21%

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