Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Charm Care Corporation (6062.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,461.46 - $17,853.77$16,731.60
Multi-Stage$2,789.83 - $3,054.55$2,919.76
Blended Fair Value$9,825.68
Current Price$1,296.00
Upside658.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS47.59%44.64%29.9721.9216.9411.966.484.282.151.500.750.75
YoY Growth--36.68%29.42%41.65%84.60%51.39%99.26%43.53%99.18%0.79%-0.31%
Dividend Yield--2.31%1.60%1.45%1.14%0.36%0.36%0.20%0.17%0.14%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,936.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)979.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,957.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)587.20367.00220.20
Cash Retained (M)1,957.001,957.001,957.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-587.20-367.00-220.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,369.801,590.001,736.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
LTM Dividend per Share29.9329.9329.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share41.8848.6253.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend71.8278.5583.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,461.46$16,731.60$17,853.77
Upside / Downside630.05%1,191.02%1,277.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,936.003,126.843,330.083,546.543,777.074,022.574,143.25
Payout Ratio33.34%44.68%56.01%67.34%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)979.001,396.941,865.072,388.162,971.383,620.323,832.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,301.801,314.141,326.48
Year 2 PV (M)1,619.681,650.531,681.67
Year 3 PV (M)1,932.691,988.172,044.71
Year 4 PV (M)2,240.902,327.082,415.72
Year 5 PV (M)2,544.362,667.252,794.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,600.4585,541.7989,633.96
Equity Value (M)91,239.8895,488.9599,897.38
Shares Outstanding (M)32.7032.7032.70
Fair Value$2,789.83$2,919.76$3,054.55
Upside / Downside115.27%125.29%135.69%

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