Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TBEA Co., Ltd. (600089.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.98 - $108.00$49.88
Multi-Stage$18.92 - $20.69$19.79
Blended Fair Value$34.84
Current Price$17.80
Upside95.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.35%6.63%0.481.170.780.150.450.430.400.310.300.27
YoY Growth---59.05%49.13%405.47%-65.31%4.89%6.85%30.19%1.95%11.58%6.89%
Dividend Yield--3.97%7.49%4.68%0.99%5.18%7.57%6.08%4.51%3.61%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,321.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)938.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,383.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,064.33665.21399.12
Cash Retained (M)4,383.114,383.114,383.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,064.33-665.21-399.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,318.783,717.913,983.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,041.955,041.955,041.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.740.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.740.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.98
WACC / Discount Rate8.47%8.47%8.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29.98$49.88$108.00
Upside / Downside68.40%180.24%506.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,321.655,667.566,035.956,428.296,846.137,291.127,509.86
Payout Ratio17.64%32.11%46.58%61.05%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)938.541,819.802,811.653,924.765,170.696,562.016,946.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.47%8.47%8.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,661.921,677.671,693.42
Year 2 PV (M)2,344.952,389.622,434.70
Year 3 PV (M)2,989.313,075.123,162.56
Year 4 PV (M)3,596.613,734.923,877.19
Year 5 PV (M)4,168.384,369.724,578.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,644.5284,539.6888,583.91
Equity Value (M)95,405.6899,786.72104,330.54
Shares Outstanding (M)5,041.955,041.955,041.95
Fair Value$18.92$19.79$20.69
Upside / Downside6.31%11.19%16.25%

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