Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Integral Corporation (5842.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,029.14 - $2,879.00$2,448.20
Multi-Stage$3,007.79 - $3,305.78$3,153.89
Blended Fair Value$2,801.05
Current Price$3,195.00
Upside-12.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%11.390.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,736.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,135.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,601.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,147.201,342.00805.20
Cash Retained (M)9,601.009,601.009,601.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,147.20-1,342.00-805.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,453.808,259.008,795.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
LTM Dividend per Share32.4932.4932.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend245.86268.90284.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,029.14$2,448.20$2,879.00
Upside / Downside-36.49%-23.37%-9.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,736.0010,628.6410,522.3510,417.1310,312.9610,209.8310,516.12
Payout Ratio10.57%26.46%42.34%58.23%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,135.002,812.084,455.506,065.777,643.399,188.859,727.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,533.512,559.372,585.22
Year 2 PV (M)3,616.503,690.683,765.62
Year 3 PV (M)4,435.834,573.014,712.99
Year 4 PV (M)5,035.835,244.545,459.67
Year 5 PV (M)5,454.355,738.376,034.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)83,999.3088,373.3492,927.72
Equity Value (M)105,075.32110,179.30115,485.32
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
Fair Value$3,007.79$3,153.89$3,305.78
Upside / Downside-5.86%-1.29%3.47%

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