Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SOFT99corporation (4464.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,387.52 - $2,182.55$1,751.93
Multi-Stage$1,622.61 - $1,774.80$1,697.29
Blended Fair Value$1,724.61
Current Price$1,611.00
Upside7.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS11.92%0.00%42.9039.7536.7637.9625.0324.420.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.91%8.15%-3.17%51.66%2.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.58%2.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,923.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)933.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,990.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)584.63365.39219.23
Cash Retained (M)1,990.111,990.111,990.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-584.63-365.39-219.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,405.481,624.721,770.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.5421.5421.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share65.2675.4482.23
LTM Dividend per Share43.3243.3243.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share65.2675.4482.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend108.59118.77125.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Fair Value$1,387.52$1,751.93$2,182.55
Upside / Downside-13.87%8.75%35.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,923.133,011.143,101.793,195.183,291.373,390.473,492.18
Payout Ratio31.92%43.53%55.15%66.77%78.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)933.031,310.901,710.682,133.342,579.903,051.423,230.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate2.01%3.01%4.01%
Year 1 PV (M)1,180.221,191.791,203.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,386.621,413.941,441.52
Year 3 PV (M)1,556.841,603.071,650.21
Year 4 PV (M)1,695.041,762.491,831.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,804.981,895.211,989.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,320.1928,685.7930,105.46
Equity Value (M)34,943.8936,552.2938,221.49
Shares Outstanding (M)21.5421.5421.54
Fair Value$1,622.61$1,697.29$1,774.80
Upside / Downside0.72%5.36%10.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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