Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kao Corporation (4452.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,519.86 - $3,918.94$3,166.26
Multi-Stage$4,203.82 - $4,609.34$4,402.71
Blended Fair Value$3,784.49
Current Price$6,451.00
Upside-41.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.03%7.57%151.36149.41148.53146.22140.03130.39122.47108.3895.2180.02
YoY Growth--1.31%0.59%1.58%4.42%7.40%6.46%13.00%13.83%18.99%9.69%
Dividend Yield--2.34%2.59%2.87%2.91%1.91%1.48%1.40%1.36%1.56%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121,459.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)71,246.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)50,213.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,291.8015,182.389,109.43
Cash Retained (M)50,213.0050,213.0050,213.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,291.80-15,182.38-9,109.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,921.2035,030.6341,103.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)464.10464.10464.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share55.8575.4888.57
LTM Dividend per Share153.52153.52153.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share55.8575.4888.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend209.37229.00242.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Fair Value$2,519.86$3,166.26$3,918.94
Upside / Downside-60.94%-50.92%-39.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121,459.00122,219.91122,985.58123,756.06124,531.36125,311.51129,070.86
Payout Ratio58.66%64.93%71.20%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)71,246.0079,353.4587,559.6995,865.64104,272.22112,780.36119,390.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Year 1 PV (M)72,809.8473,540.6774,271.49
Year 2 PV (M)73,714.4675,201.7076,703.80
Year 3 PV (M)74,051.8176,304.1578,601.70
Year 4 PV (M)73,903.5976,915.7980,019.14
Year 5 PV (M)73,342.3277,097.8281,005.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,583,158.751,664,224.621,748,577.78
Equity Value (M)1,950,980.752,043,284.742,139,179.53
Shares Outstanding (M)464.10464.10464.10
Fair Value$4,203.82$4,402.71$4,609.34
Upside / Downside-34.83%-31.75%-28.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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