Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

09WOMEN Co., Ltd. (366030.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Sector:

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,050.16 - $2,924.30$2,479.52
Multi-Stage$3,202.50 - $3,515.19$3,355.83
Blended Fair Value$2,917.67
Current Price$4,660.00
Upside-37.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%118.82175.43132.30132.300.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---32.27%32.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.05%3.00%1.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,912.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,038.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,873.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,382.50864.06518.44
Cash Retained (M)4,873.664,873.664,873.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,382.50-864.06-518.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,491.164,009.604,355.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
LTM Dividend per Share89.2589.2589.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share152.83175.52190.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend242.08264.78279.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,050.16$2,479.52$2,924.30
Upside / Downside-56.01%-46.79%-37.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,912.516,843.386,774.956,707.206,640.126,573.726,770.94
Payout Ratio29.50%41.60%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,038.852,846.573,637.944,413.205,172.595,916.356,263.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,571.672,597.912,624.15
Year 2 PV (M)2,969.213,030.123,091.64
Year 3 PV (M)3,254.103,354.743,457.43
Year 4 PV (M)3,445.713,588.513,735.72
Year 5 PV (M)3,560.553,745.953,939.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,355.6060,342.2463,452.02
Equity Value (M)73,156.8476,659.4880,299.96
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8422.8422.84
Fair Value$3,202.50$3,355.83$3,515.19
Upside / Downside-31.28%-27.99%-24.57%

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