Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Food & Life Companies Ltd. (3563.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,174.69 - $15,746.98$8,237.62
Multi-Stage$3,379.44 - $3,695.32$3,534.50
Blended Fair Value$5,886.06
Current Price$7,737.00
Upside-23.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.36%0.00%29.5622.6722.6622.7615.1722.7721.5010.720.000.00
YoY Growth--30.36%0.04%-0.42%50.03%-33.37%5.88%100.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.38%0.68%0.78%0.88%0.35%0.58%0.92%0.71%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,937.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,388.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,549.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,587.402,867.131,720.28
Cash Retained (M)19,549.0019,549.0019,549.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,587.40-2,867.13-1,720.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,961.6016,681.8817,828.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)114.63114.63114.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share130.52145.52155.53
LTM Dividend per Share29.5629.5629.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share130.52145.52155.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend160.07175.08185.08
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,174.69$8,237.62$15,746.98
Upside / Downside-33.12%6.47%103.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,937.0024,427.9126,015.7227,706.7429,507.6831,425.6832,368.45
Payout Ratio14.77%29.82%44.86%59.91%74.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,388.007,283.6011,671.3116,598.6522,117.2428,283.1129,940.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,633.856,696.736,759.61
Year 2 PV (M)9,681.869,866.2710,052.43
Year 3 PV (M)12,540.9912,900.9913,267.83
Year 4 PV (M)15,219.8215,805.1316,407.16
Year 5 PV (M)17,726.5918,582.7919,471.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)325,592.51341,318.75357,646.87
Equity Value (M)387,395.62405,170.67423,605.66
Shares Outstanding (M)114.63114.63114.63
Fair Value$3,379.44$3,534.50$3,695.32
Upside / Downside-56.32%-54.32%-52.24%

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