Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Urbanet Corporation Co.,Ltd. (3242.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,512.64 - $21,811.02$20,440.12
Multi-Stage$5,614.37 - $6,157.77$5,881.02
Blended Fair Value$13,160.57
Current Price$572.00
Upside2,200.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.42%9.98%20.6218.6816.7016.7315.7517.4311.9114.0913.3211.04
YoY Growth--10.38%11.88%-0.18%6.20%-9.64%46.37%-15.50%5.82%20.60%38.66%
Dividend Yield--3.60%4.88%4.23%5.58%5.03%6.41%2.90%4.03%3.80%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,704.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)360.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,344.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)740.97463.11277.86
Cash Retained (M)3,344.843,344.843,344.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-740.97-463.11-277.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,603.872,881.743,066.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.7833.7833.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.0885.3190.79
LTM Dividend per Share10.6610.6610.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.0885.3190.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend87.7495.96101.45
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18,512.64$20,440.12$21,811.02
Upside / Downside3,136.47%3,473.45%3,713.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,704.843,945.664,202.124,475.264,766.155,075.955,228.23
Payout Ratio9.72%25.77%41.83%57.89%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)360.001,016.941,757.762,590.593,524.264,568.364,836.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.02%5.02%5.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)959.23968.33977.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,563.941,593.731,623.80
Year 3 PV (M)2,174.152,236.562,300.16
Year 4 PV (M)2,789.902,897.193,007.55
Year 5 PV (M)3,411.243,576.003,747.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)178,761.15187,395.38196,360.06
Equity Value (M)189,659.61198,667.19208,016.05
Shares Outstanding (M)33.7833.7833.78
Fair Value$5,614.37$5,881.02$6,157.77
Upside / Downside881.53%928.15%976.53%

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