Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

AUO Corporation (2409.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.10 - $146.21$137.02
Multi-Stage$99.46 - $109.15$104.21
Blended Fair Value$120.61
Current Price$13.65
Upside783.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.48%16.94%0.910.811.260.380.000.631.900.710.440.63
YoY Growth--12.50%-35.94%235.88%0.00%-100.00%-66.67%167.86%60.00%-30.00%233.33%
Dividend Yield--6.76%4.44%6.86%1.51%0.00%8.00%13.46%4.16%3.00%5.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,580.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,300.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,280.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,116.14697.58418.55
Cash Retained (M)3,280.313,280.313,280.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,116.14-697.58-418.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,164.182,582.732,861.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,589.407,589.407,589.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.640.68
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Fair Value$124.10$137.02$146.21
Upside / Downside809.13%903.79%971.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,580.685,942.156,327.036,736.847,173.207,637.827,866.95
Payout Ratio41.22%50.98%60.73%70.49%80.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,300.363,029.083,842.544,748.675,756.066,874.047,276.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)3,031.413,060.153,088.89
Year 2 PV (M)3,848.473,921.793,995.80
Year 3 PV (M)4,759.684,896.345,035.59
Year 4 PV (M)5,773.865,995.966,224.40
Year 5 PV (M)6,900.617,233.997,580.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)730,506.73765,798.26802,440.77
Equity Value (M)754,820.77790,906.49828,365.59
Shares Outstanding (M)7,589.407,589.407,589.40
Fair Value$99.46$104.21$109.15
Upside / Downside628.62%663.46%699.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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