Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $795.07 - $1,567.46 | $1,468.94 |
| Multi-Stage | $245.24 - $268.33 | $256.57 |
| Blended Fair Value | $862.76 | |
| Current Price | $50.90 | |
| Upside | 1,595.00% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 5.81% | 14.47% | 2.12 | 1.64 | 1.37 | 1.81 | 1.72 | 1.60 | 1.37 | 1.65 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 29.62% | 19.14% | -24.08% | 5.23% | 7.47% | 16.78% | -17.16% | 98.05% | 13.63% | 33.79% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.64% | 2.29% | 1.77% | 1.48% | 1.34% | 1.57% | 1.76% | 2.59% | 1.90% | 1.97% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 11,847.85 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 6,284.60 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 5,563.26 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2,369.57 | 1,480.98 | 888.59 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 5,563.26 | 5,563.26 | 5,563.26 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2,369.57 | -1,480.98 | -888.59 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,193.69 | 4,082.27 | 4,674.67 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,503.22 | 1,503.22 | 1,503.22 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.11 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4.18 | 4.18 | 4.18 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 2.12 | 2.72 | 3.11 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 6.31 | 6.90 | 7.29 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $795.07 | $1,468.94 | $1,567.46 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,462.03% | 2,785.93% | 2,979.49% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 11,847.85 | 12,617.96 | 13,438.13 | 14,311.61 | 15,241.86 | 16,232.58 | 16,719.56 |
| Payout Ratio | 53.04% | 60.44% | 67.83% | 75.22% | 82.61% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 6,284.60 | 7,625.71 | 9,114.61 | 10,764.86 | 12,591.12 | 14,609.32 | 15,465.59 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 7,103.95 | 7,171.29 | 7,238.62 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 7,910.03 | 8,060.69 | 8,212.77 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 8,702.97 | 8,952.81 | 9,207.37 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 9,482.96 | 9,847.64 | 10,222.75 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 10,250.13 | 10,745.21 | 11,259.24 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 325,201.87 | 340,909.25 | 357,217.78 |
| Equity Value (M) | 368,651.91 | 385,686.88 | 403,358.54 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,503.22 | 1,503.22 | 1,503.22 |
| Fair Value | $245.24 | $256.57 | $268.33 |
| Upside / Downside | 381.81% | 404.07% | 427.17% |
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