Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Cosmax, Inc. (192820.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$741,949.67 - $874,142.42$819,199.47
Multi-Stage$161,794.50 - $177,132.22$169,322.17
Blended Fair Value$494,260.82
Current Price$214,500.00
Upside130.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.21%0.00%499.910.00552.040.00796.76531.17265.59885.29554.93395.80
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%50.00%100.00%-70.00%59.53%40.21%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.30%0.00%0.68%0.00%0.66%0.68%0.17%0.62%0.41%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,878.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26,095.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,783.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,975.666,234.793,740.87
Cash Retained (M)23,783.2923,783.2923,783.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,975.66-6,234.79-3,740.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,807.6317,548.5020,042.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,216.771,546.431,766.20
LTM Dividend per Share2,299.582,299.582,299.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,216.771,546.431,766.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,516.353,846.014,065.78
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$741,949.67$819,199.47$874,142.42
Upside / Downside245.90%281.91%307.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,878.3153,120.4056,573.2360,250.4964,166.7768,337.6170,387.74
Payout Ratio52.32%59.85%67.39%74.93%82.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26,095.0231,794.6338,124.9445,143.8552,914.1561,503.8565,108.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29,760.1030,042.1930,324.27
Year 2 PV (M)33,401.8434,038.0534,680.26
Year 3 PV (M)37,020.3438,083.0639,165.93
Year 4 PV (M)40,615.7242,177.6943,784.28
Year 5 PV (M)44,188.0946,322.3948,538.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,651,017.491,730,762.251,813,559.03
Equity Value (M)1,836,003.571,921,425.622,010,052.14
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3511.3511.35
Fair Value$161,794.50$169,322.17$177,132.22
Upside / Downside-24.57%-21.06%-17.42%

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