Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kolmar Korea Co., Ltd. (161890.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$811,631.04 - $956,238.88$896,135.87
Multi-Stage$167,916.27 - $183,971.68$175,795.67
Blended Fair Value$535,965.77
Current Price$77,800.00
Upside588.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.32%25.21%820.92578.77497.79334.39319.86312.39268.20263.41180.55143.01
YoY Growth--41.84%16.27%48.87%4.54%2.39%16.47%1.82%45.90%26.25%65.02%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.12%1.19%0.77%0.56%0.83%0.33%0.34%0.24%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113,505.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25,865.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)87,639.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22,701.1514,188.228,512.93
Cash Retained (M)87,639.8487,639.8487,639.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-22,701.15-14,188.22-8,512.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)64,938.6973,451.6279,126.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.6123.6123.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,750.883,111.503,351.91
LTM Dividend per Share1,095.711,095.711,095.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,750.883,111.503,351.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,846.594,207.214,447.62
WACC / Discount Rate5.93%5.93%5.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$811,631.04$896,135.87$956,238.88
Upside / Downside943.23%1,051.85%1,129.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113,505.74120,883.61128,741.04137,109.21146,021.31155,512.69160,178.07
Payout Ratio22.79%36.23%49.67%63.12%76.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25,865.9043,796.7963,949.4286,536.85111,790.46139,961.42148,164.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.93%5.93%5.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40,955.2141,343.4141,731.61
Year 2 PV (M)55,920.3956,985.5258,060.69
Year 3 PV (M)70,762.2272,793.5574,863.39
Year 4 PV (M)85,481.4588,768.8392,150.12
Year 5 PV (M)100,078.84104,912.69109,931.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,610,717.393,785,116.393,966,190.05
Equity Value (M)3,963,915.514,149,920.394,342,927.40
Shares Outstanding (M)23.6123.6123.61
Fair Value$167,916.27$175,795.67$183,971.68
Upside / Downside115.83%125.96%136.47%

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