Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1,025.51 - $1,677.74 | $1,572.29 |
| Multi-Stage | $271.81 - $297.60 | $284.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $928.38 | |
| Current Price | $26.60 | |
| Upside | 3,390.15% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 6.03% | 17.26% | 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.46 | 1.25 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 0.82 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -2.79% | 1.92% | 16.55% | 14.77% | 1.12% | 31.66% | 36.63% | 18.73% | 24.73% | 37.70% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.39% | 5.60% | 4.07% | 3.81% | 3.40% | 2.77% | 2.72% | 2.52% | 2.89% | 1.79% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 60,157.85 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 21,921.08 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 38,236.77 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 12,031.57 | 7,519.73 | 4,511.84 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 38,236.77 | 38,236.77 | 38,236.77 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -12,031.57 | -7,519.73 | -4,511.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 26,205.20 | 30,717.04 | 33,724.93 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 7,130.94 | 7,130.94 | 7,130.94 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3.67 | 4.31 | 4.73 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3.07 | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3.67 | 4.31 | 4.73 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 6.75 | 7.38 | 7.80 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.19% | 6.19% | 6.19% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $1,025.51 | $1,572.29 | $1,677.74 |
| Upside / Downside | 3,755.30% | 5,810.87% | 6,207.31% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 60,157.85 | 64,068.11 | 68,232.53 | 72,667.65 | 77,391.05 | 82,421.46 | 84,894.11 |
| Payout Ratio | 36.44% | 47.15% | 57.86% | 68.58% | 79.29% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 21,921.08 | 30,209.02 | 39,481.77 | 49,832.35 | 61,361.70 | 74,179.32 | 78,527.05 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.19% | 6.19% | 6.19% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 28,179.82 | 28,446.93 | 28,714.04 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 34,355.79 | 35,010.17 | 35,670.73 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 40,449.79 | 41,610.96 | 42,794.14 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 46,462.65 | 48,249.47 | 50,087.34 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 52,395.14 | 54,925.85 | 57,553.41 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,736,407.35 | 1,820,276.48 | 1,907,355.47 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,938,250.55 | 2,028,519.86 | 2,122,175.12 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 7,130.94 | 7,130.94 | 7,130.94 |
| Fair Value | $271.81 | $284.47 | $297.60 |
| Upside / Downside | 921.84% | 969.43% | 1,018.80% |
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| LREN3.SA | Lojas Renner S.A. | 4.75% | $0.64 | 45.84% |
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| CHE-UN.TO | Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund | 4.73% | $0.70 | 71.01% |
| GVH | Globavend Holdings Limited | 4.73% | $0.07 | 61.06% |
| MOUR.BR | Moury Construct S.A. | 4.73% | $27.35 | 20.85% |
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| 601598.SS | Sinotrans Limited | 4.72% | $0.29 | 56.81% |
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