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Campbell Soup Company (0HST.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.64 - $25.03$20.61
Multi-Stage$25.76 - $28.16$26.94
Blended Fair Value$23.77
Current Price$29.91
Upside-20.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.50%1.54%1.541.491.491.511.471.421.411.421.401.30
YoY Growth--3.15%-0.45%-0.89%2.73%3.05%0.71%-0.70%1.43%7.69%-1.02%
Dividend Yield--5.13%3.12%3.70%2.85%3.63%2.99%3.04%3.79%3.03%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)463.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.6072.2543.35
Cash Retained (M)115.00115.00115.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.60-72.25-43.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.6042.7571.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)299.00299.00299.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.140.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.551.551.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.140.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.551.691.79
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Fair Value$16.64$20.61$25.03
Upside / Downside-44.36%-31.10%-16.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)578.00582.75587.55592.38597.25602.17620.23
Payout Ratio80.10%82.08%84.06%86.04%88.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)463.00478.34493.91509.69525.71541.95573.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.18%0.82%1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)434.10438.45442.80
Year 2 PV (M)406.77414.96423.24
Year 3 PV (M)380.95392.52404.31
Year 4 PV (M)356.58371.09386.03
Year 5 PV (M)333.60350.65368.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,791.336,087.296,395.22
Equity Value (M)7,703.358,054.968,419.99
Shares Outstanding (M)299.00299.00299.00
Fair Value$25.76$26.94$28.16
Upside / Downside-13.86%-9.93%-5.85%

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