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Definitive Analysis

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Partron Co., Ltd. (091700.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,479.91 - $16,194.81$11,582.16
Multi-Stage$12,750.20 - $13,988.59$13,357.64
Blended Fair Value$12,469.90
Current Price$6,370.00
Upside95.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.98%-1.97%246.99302.76361.46235.98333.53203.19212.89240.60243.80248.83
YoY Growth---18.42%-16.24%53.17%-29.25%64.15%-4.56%-11.52%-1.31%-2.02%-17.47%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.78%4.38%2.17%3.12%2.66%1.58%2.77%2.12%2.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,275.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,139.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,136.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,855.183,659.492,195.69
Cash Retained (M)14,136.3914,136.3914,136.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,855.18-3,659.49-2,195.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,281.2110,476.9011,940.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
LTM Dividend per Share282.43282.43282.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share154.49195.45222.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.91477.87505.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Fair Value$8,479.91$11,582.16$16,194.81
Upside / Downside33.12%81.82%154.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,275.8929,992.9530,727.5731,480.1832,251.2333,041.1634,032.39
Payout Ratio51.71%59.37%67.03%74.69%82.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,139.5117,806.9820,596.0523,511.0626,556.5129,737.0431,479.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate1.45%2.45%3.45%
Year 1 PV (M)16,529.6116,692.5416,855.48
Year 2 PV (M)17,747.1418,098.7318,453.78
Year 3 PV (M)18,805.6719,367.2819,939.96
Year 4 PV (M)19,717.8620,506.8721,319.34
Year 5 PV (M)20,495.5021,525.7522,597.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)590,181.64619,848.28650,696.09
Equity Value (M)683,477.42716,039.46749,861.67
Shares Outstanding (M)53.6153.6153.61
Fair Value$12,750.20$13,357.64$13,988.59
Upside / Downside100.16%109.70%119.60%

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