Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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LOTTE rental co.,ltd. (089860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104,236.25 - $455,566.12$181,314.34
Multi-Stage$80,325.36 - $87,947.64$84,066.01
Blended Fair Value$132,690.17
Current Price$29,500.00
Upside349.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%24.17%1,210.37907.78907.7897.2158.330.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%0.00%833.81%66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.28%3.29%3.50%0.22%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124,161.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43,571.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)80,590.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,832.2915,520.189,312.11
Cash Retained (M)80,590.1780,590.1780,590.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,832.29-15,520.18-9,312.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)55,757.8865,069.9971,278.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.3236.3236.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,535.171,791.561,962.49
LTM Dividend per Share1,199.641,199.641,199.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,535.171,791.561,962.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,734.812,991.203,162.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate4.37%5.37%6.37%
Fair Value$104,236.25$181,314.34$455,566.12
Upside / Downside253.34%514.62%1,444.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124,161.44130,828.96137,854.53145,257.38153,057.76161,277.03166,115.34
Payout Ratio35.09%46.07%57.06%68.04%79.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43,571.2760,278.0678,653.5398,828.72120,943.93145,149.33153,656.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate4.37%5.37%6.37%
Year 1 PV (M)55,743.5556,277.6456,811.74
Year 2 PV (M)67,264.9568,560.1069,867.60
Year 3 PV (M)78,160.8280,429.0682,740.76
Year 4 PV (M)88,455.5991,894.7095,433.13
Year 5 PV (M)98,172.88102,966.99107,946.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,529,639.472,653,170.152,781,480.31
Equity Value (M)2,917,437.253,053,298.643,194,280.12
Shares Outstanding (M)36.3236.3236.32
Fair Value$80,325.36$84,066.01$87,947.64
Upside / Downside172.29%184.97%198.13%

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