Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Lutronic Corporation (085370.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,567.28 - $43,617.13$29,196.89
Multi-Stage$15,237.64 - $16,630.72$15,921.63
Blended Fair Value$22,559.26
Current Price$36,400.00
Upside-38.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS42.51%0.00%190.000.004.345.8428.0532.3320.219.480.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-25.82%-79.17%-13.22%59.92%113.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.00%0.02%0.03%0.14%0.16%0.10%0.05%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,696.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,264.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,432.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,739.393,587.122,152.27
Cash Retained (M)20,432.6820,432.6820,432.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,739.39-3,587.12-2,152.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,693.2916,845.5618,280.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1726.1726.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share561.47643.72698.55
LTM Dividend per Share315.80315.80315.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share561.47643.72698.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend877.28959.521,014.35
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,567.28$29,196.89$43,617.13
Upside / Downside-43.50%-19.79%19.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,696.9530,562.2532,548.7934,664.4736,917.6639,317.3040,496.82
Payout Ratio28.80%41.04%53.28%65.52%77.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,264.2712,542.3617,341.6922,711.9428,707.0535,385.5737,459.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,295.0911,402.1511,509.21
Year 2 PV (M)14,064.1014,331.9814,602.39
Year 3 PV (M)16,587.6517,063.8217,549.02
Year 4 PV (M)18,881.1919,607.3020,354.17
Year 5 PV (M)20,959.3121,971.6623,022.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)316,968.05332,277.72348,173.34
Equity Value (M)398,755.38416,654.63435,210.86
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1726.1726.17
Fair Value$15,237.64$15,921.63$16,630.72
Upside / Downside-58.14%-56.26%-54.31%

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