Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $602,458.23 - $1,196,436.59 | $1,121,236.30 |
| Multi-Stage | $189,859.34 - $207,563.39 | $198,549.64 |
| Blended Fair Value | $659,892.97 | |
| Current Price | $45,950.00 | |
| Upside | 1,336.11% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 12.17% | 9.71% | 4,299.60 | 4,965.71 | 3,303.99 | 1,900.88 | 2,686.10 | 2,420.92 | 2,144.46 | 1,981.71 | 1,816.72 | 1,461.26 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -13.41% | 50.29% | 73.81% | -29.23% | 10.95% | 12.89% | 8.21% | 9.08% | 24.33% | -14.13% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 11.68% | 10.39% | 8.18% | 4.33% | 6.87% | 6.58% | 4.04% | 3.19% | 3.07% | 2.48% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 569,573.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 447,491.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 122,082.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 113,914.60 | 71,196.63 | 42,717.98 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 122,082.00 | 122,082.00 | 122,082.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -113,914.60 | -71,196.63 | -42,717.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 8,167.40 | 50,885.38 | 79,364.03 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 94.68 | 94.68 | 94.68 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 86.27 | 537.47 | 838.27 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4,726.55 | 4,726.55 | 4,726.55 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 86.27 | 537.47 | 838.27 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 4,812.82 | 5,264.02 | 5,564.82 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $602,458.23 | $1,121,236.30 | $1,196,436.59 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,211.12% | 2,340.12% | 2,503.78% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 569,573.00 | 606,595.25 | 646,023.94 | 688,015.49 | 732,736.50 | 780,364.37 | 803,775.30 |
| Payout Ratio | 78.57% | 80.85% | 83.14% | 85.43% | 87.71% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 447,491.00 | 490,449.48 | 537,101.90 | 587,747.00 | 642,706.70 | 702,327.93 | 743,492.15 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.34% | 6.34% | 6.34% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 456,866.20 | 461,196.69 | 465,527.17 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 466,064.70 | 474,941.92 | 483,902.89 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 475,088.69 | 488,726.78 | 502,623.40 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 483,940.38 | 502,551.36 | 521,694.04 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 492,621.91 | 516,415.74 | 541,120.21 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 15,600,541.16 | 16,354,053.13 | 17,136,403.78 |
| Equity Value (M) | 17,975,123.04 | 18,797,885.61 | 19,651,271.49 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 94.68 | 94.68 | 94.68 |
| Fair Value | $189,859.34 | $198,549.64 | $207,563.39 |
| Upside / Downside | 313.19% | 332.10% | 351.72% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603551.SS | AUPU Intelligent Technology Corporation Limited | 4.75% | $0.55 | 70.57% |
| ABCB4.SA | Banco ABC Brasil S.A. | 4.75% | $1.12 | 27.47% |
| ASSA.JK | PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk | 4.75% | $55.37 | 53.84% |
| CHMF.ME | PJSC Severstal | 4.75% | $45.69 | 47.39% |
| LMN.SW | lastminute.com N.V. | 4.75% | $0.62 | 39.82% |
| LREN3.SA | Lojas Renner S.A. | 4.75% | $0.64 | 45.84% |
| POT.NZ | Port of Tauranga Limited | 4.75% | $0.37 | 93.98% |
| 005720.KS | Nexen Corporation | 4.74% | $283.16 | 21.67% |
| 0DTK.L | Savencia S.A. | 4.74% | $2.97 | 20.78% |
| 1368.HK | Xtep International Holdings Limited | 4.74% | $0.25 | 35.82% |
| 3030.SR | Saudi Cement Company | 4.74% | $1.64 | 59.10% |
| EGIE3.SA | Engie Brasil Energia S.A. | 4.74% | $1.48 | 39.71% |
| 3570.TWO | Otsuka Information Technology Corp. | 4.73% | $7.97 | 55.25% |
| 600096.SS | Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. | 4.73% | $1.58 | 51.07% |
| CHE-UN.TO | Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund | 4.73% | $0.70 | 71.01% |
| GVH | Globavend Holdings Limited | 4.73% | $0.07 | 61.06% |
| MOUR.BR | Moury Construct S.A. | 4.73% | $27.35 | 20.85% |
| 1578.HK | Bank of Tianjin Co., Ltd. | 4.72% | $0.12 | 10.90% |
| 601598.SS | Sinotrans Limited | 4.72% | $0.29 | 56.81% |
| 6393.T | Yuken Kogyo Co., Ltd. | 4.72% | $152.08 | 45.60% |
| 7278.T | EXEDY Corporation | 4.72% | $264.78 | 76.11% |
| SHURB.XD | Shurgard Self Storage Ltd | 4.72% | $1.38 | 21.77% |
| TD | The Toronto-Dominion Bank | 4.72% | $4.46 | 37.31% |
| 0QLW.L | ALSO Holding AG | 4.71% | $10.07 | 55.86% |
| 111110.KS | Hojeon Limited | 4.71% | $377.81 | 20.16% |
| 3413.TW | Foxsemicon Integrated Technology Inc. | 4.71% | $13.29 | 62.47% |
| BVG.BK | BlueVenture Group Public Company Limited | 4.71% | $0.08 | 58.67% |
| DUNI.ST | Duni AB (publ) | 4.71% | $5.00 | 71.87% |
| 002810.KS | Samyung Trading Co., Ltd. | 4.70% | $746.82 | 22.45% |
| 013520.KS | Hwaseung Corporation Co.,Ltd. | 4.70% | $101.24 | 13.31% |
| 2S.BK | 2S Metal Public Company Limited | 4.70% | $0.11 | 76.54% |
| COLOR.BK | Salee Colour Public Company Limited | 4.70% | $0.05 | 65.65% |
| GJTL.JK | PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk | 4.70% | $49.82 | 16.37% |
| JHSF3.SA | JHSF Participações S.A. | 4.70% | $0.37 | 19.33% |
| 0QLN.L | Tecan Group AG | 4.69% | $6.01 | 46.42% |
| 2891.TW | CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. | 4.69% | $2.39 | 63.03% |
| 9536.SR | Arabian Food & Dairy Factories Company | 4.69% | $2.77 | 42.88% |
| KAMART.BK | Karmarts Public Company Limited | 4.69% | $0.42 | 80.09% |
| SNW.DE | Sanofi | 4.69% | $3.87 | 51.33% |
| WWL.WA | Wawel S.A. | 4.69% | $35.00 | 61.86% |
| 603299.SS | Jiang Su Suyan Jingshen Co.,Ltd. | 4.68% | $0.49 | 72.35% |
| 001790.KS | TS Corporation | 4.67% | $129.85 | 23.71% |
| 6049.HK | Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. | 4.67% | $1.51 | 27.86% |
| ABRD.ME | PJSC Abrau-Durso | 4.67% | $7.73 | 35.43% |
| CURY3.SA | Cury Construtora e Incorporadora S.A. | 4.67% | $1.47 | 49.28% |
| INCI.JK | PT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk | 4.67% | $34.76 | 31.60% |
| NTGY.MC | Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. | 4.67% | $1.20 | 57.49% |
| 1015.KL | AMMB Holdings Berhad | 4.66% | $0.30 | 48.65% |
| 1686.HK | SUNeVision Holdings Ltd. | 4.66% | $0.22 | 47.87% |
| 1834.SR | Saudi Manpower Solutions Co. | 4.66% | $0.25 | 81.73% |